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מחקר ישראלי: הרחקת משקיעים משוק הדיור אינה תורמת למיתון מחירים

חוקרים מצאו שבזמן פטור ממס שבח, שעודד משקיעים למכור דירות, מחירי הדיור עלו ■ כשמשקיעים פעילים בשוק, הם משתתפים במכירות המוקדמות ומסייעים ליזמים להשיג ליווי פיננסי, מה שמגדיל את ההיצע בשוק ■ האוצר: "המחקר מתבסס על הנחות שלא בהכרח מתקיימות"

מחקר חדש של שלושה כלכלנים בכירים משלוש אוניברסיטאות בישראל קובע שמיסוי הגורם למשקיעים למכור את הדירות שבבעלותם ולהקטין את פעילותם בשוק הדיור אינו תורם כלל להפחתת מחירי הדירות, ואולי אפילו להפך — גורם לעליית מחירי הדירות ובשכר הדירה.

אותו הדבר בנושא בריאות הציבור , קיימת אווירה שהטיפול הרפואי בארץ הוא טוב, למי? (ספוילר ,לאוצר), כידוע על כל תרופה שנרכשת למטרת בריאות דורשת תשלום מע"מ , כך המדינה/הממשלה מנצלת את בורות הציבור בנושא הרפואה הנגישה , למעשה הרפואה נגישה לכולם אבל מהווה משאבת כספים לאוצר , בדיוק כמו המס על הבנזין

במדינה יהודית , השקעה בנדל"ן בארץ ישראל היא מצוות עשה מהתורה , הליכוד והמפלגות המסורתיות הצמודות אליו הטילו מס על השקעה זאת , כך הצליחו תקופה ארוכה לנצל את הצורך היהודי הפנימי הדתי למצווה למטרת גיוס הון שמפוזר למטרות אחרות (לא לפיתוח תשתיות לישובים חדשים ) , מס כבד זה יצר הרחקת משקיעי הנדל"ן לחו"ל , לבניית מושבות של יהודים במדינות אירופה ולמעשה עידוד לירידה של יהודים מארץ ישראל, ראו המושבות , בתאילנד , יוון , קפריסין וארה"ב, ממשלה שנשענת על רוב יהודי צריכה הייתה לקיים מדיניות נדל"ן יצירתית במקום עוד ועוד מיסים

מחירי הדיור יורדים ובנק ישראל חוזה שימשיכו לדשדש ולרדת בשנים הקרובות. מה זה המחקר המגוחך הזה?

אחרי עליות של 400-500% לא יקרה אסון אם המחירים ירדו 30-40% .

כשמשתינים בים בזמן גאות, אפשר להגיע למסקנה שהעלית בעצמך את פני הים. אין שום אפשרות לערוך מחקר של השפעת מס כזה או אחר על מחירי הדיור, בתקופה שבה היו כל כך הרבה פרמטרים, חלקם גלובליים, שדחפו את המחיר בעוצמה למעלה. כל אדם עם היגיון בסיסי מבין את זה, לכן ניתן להכריז על המחקר הזה כחסר ערך במקרה הטוב או אינטרסנטי במקרה הפחות טוב עוד בטרם פורסם.

אבל המציאות הישראלית סותרת את ה"מחקר", התוצאה הפוכה, היצעים כבדים ללא קונים וירידות מחיר חדות

חדשות, ידיעות מהארץ והעולם - הידיעות והחדשות בעיתון הארץ. סקופים, מאמרים, פרשנויות ותחקירי עומק באתר האיכותי בישראל© כל הזכויות שמורות להוצאת עיתון הארץ בע"מ

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